J.R. Head: Thanks so much, Dale, for taking the time to talk with me.

Dale Dye: You’re most welcome. It’s a pleasure to be anywhere talking about the business we love these days. Hopefully, things will loosen up a bit, we’ll all go to work and I won’t have time for this in the near future.

JRH: Well, I’m glad I caught you when I did. First, let me say that I’ve enjoyed so many of the projects you’ve worked on.

DD: That means a lot coming from a guy with a military background. The reason I work so hard at it is to ensure guys like you and millions of others who served get a fair shake from Hollywood.

JRH: With more than twenty years in the business under your belt, there’s a lot I’d like to cover. Let’s start at the beginning. To many folks, making the jump from the Marine Corps to Hollywood seems counter-intuitive. You seemed to make headway very quickly, retiring from active duty and getting right to work on a high-profile project, Oliver Stone’s “Platoon”. How did that come about?

DD: Well, that takes a little explaining…so bear with me here. I guess it does seem counter-intuitive to come out of a full career as a Marine and just head to Hollywood to find work in the motion picture or TV industry…and frankly, if I’d known anything about this industry at the time, I probably wouldn’t have tried it. You can do a lot of things people tell you are impossible when you’re blissfully ignorant. You might want to write that down. I had no idea back in 1985 when I came to Hollywood what it takes to get in the door out here. I just had this notion that someone who knew what they were talking about regarding the military needed to show these guys doing the writing, directing and performing what the real military was like…how we look, how we think, how we walk, talk and fight in the real world. That came from decades of watching military or war movies and walking away pissed off at what I was seeing. I knew that what was on the small or large screen at the time was not what I’d experienced and I sensed that it could be corrected if someone who’d lived that life could just demonstrate that the reality was much more dynamic, interesting and dramatic than what was being imagined by people who were clueless about our military. So, thinking it was just that simple, I cadged a plane ticket and came on out to set things straight. And wallowing in my own ignorance of how things get done in this town, I just started making calls and kicking down doors and sort of turning it into an all-out frontal assault. Needless to say, I didn’t have much luck except with the security guys who were constantly called to escort me off sets and studio lots. What I was trying to bring to the table was a whole lot more than just advice on which ribbons were correct, or how to get a proper military haircut, how to wear the uniform or how to handle a weapon. There were people out here already who could do that. I wanted to work from the inside and find a way to make the writers, director and actors really understand what it’s like to soldier. As I said, I wasn’t having much luck. People said…you know, we’ve made war movies for years and did just fine without you, so take a hike. I had trouble making them see that there could truly be a significant difference and it would make for a better movie or TV show. Then I ran into a guy named Oliver Stone who was a combat vet from Vietnam. He understood what I was trying to get done. He knew from his own military time as a combat soldier that you can’t translate the experience believably without living the life in some sort of full-immersion training regimen. He let me do it my way on Platoon. When we eventually won four Academy Awards, including Best Picture, I began to find a little more receptive attitude with people. The rest is history, I guess.

JRH: Now, I’m just going to run down a list here…and I’m omitting a lot: “Born on the Fourth of July”, “JFK”, “The Last of the Mohicans”, “Forrest Gump”, “Starship Troopers”, “Saving Private Ryan”, “The Thin Red Line”, “Tigerland”, The Great Raid”, “Tropic Thunder”… the list goes on and on. These are some tremendous films and you’ve had a hand in all of them. Which one did you most enjoy working on?

DD: Well, I’ll always have a soft spot for “Platoon” as it kick-started my career and gave credibility to my methods. I’m also partial to a few others. I loved working on “The Beast” with Kevin Reynolds. It was a story about Russian tankers in Afghanistan and we shot it with real captured Soviet tanks in Israel. It was something like being Erwin Rommel for a while. And I love working with Steven Spielberg and Tom Hanks so I’m quite fond of the experiences on “Saving Private Ryan” and “Band of Brothers”. I guess from the perspective of satisfaction derived as a Military Advisor, I’d have to single out “Band of Brothers”. It took us a full year to get that done and because of the training we gave the guys, we stayed in character as a WW II airborne infantry company the whole time. I was filling some mighty big boots following in the footsteps of Major Dick Winters, but it was nice to be the second guy in command of a second Easy Company for an entire year. It’s really hard to play favorites when I’m searching around in the memory banks. Every project has its merits, its personalities and its wild experiences. They all add up to a hell of a ride for an old military guy.

JRH: Speaking of (the HBO miniseries) “Band of Brothers,” many of our readers will recognize you from your fantastic portrayal of Colonel Robert Sink. You were also working as an advisor on the series…

DD: Thanks for the kind words about my portrayal of Col. Bob Sink. It was an honor that few actors get to bring a real, legendary character to life on screen. And that brings me to a word or two about my humble efforts as an actor. You’ve probably noted that I tend to double-dip in many of my projects as both Military Advisor and actor in one role or another. I never started out to be an actor, farthest thing from my mind early on…but Oliver Stone had a different view. He watched me training troops and decided it would be effective if I could bring that sort of professional military persona to the screen. So, I became Captain Harris, the Bravo Company Commander, in “Platoon”. I was scared shitless when we started shooting scenes with me and pros like Tom Berenger, Willem Dafoe, Charlie Sheen, Johnny McGinley and others but I just did what I would do in real life and Oliver loved it. That was the start of it all and now I really enjoy it. I think I’m probably the most typecast guy in Hollywood and that’s OK…but one of these days I’d like to stretch a little. Maybe someone out there will give me a shot at the homosexual hairdresser role…but I’m not holding my breath. So far I think I’ve played everything military from a senior sergeant to the Chairman of the Joint Chiefs. When I do military roles on screen, I see it as just another high-profile opportunity to give audiences a factual look at a professional military guy.

JRH: Well, it has always come across. Let me tell you, Dale, “Band of Brothers” was, in my opinion, the most important thing to come out of this town in the last twenty years. Airing, as it did, during a very dark time in our nation’s history, I believe it helped lift people’s spirits by illustrating the courage and sacrifice of the people who serve our country. Is this a common sentiment among fans of the series?

DD: That series really hit an emotional note with viewers. It’s probably one of our best known efforts in the WWII genre and fans of the series are both legion and fanatically loyal. To address your question about it being aired in a dark time in our nation’s history, I guess that likely had something to do with it. It’s hard to say. Certainly my experience leads me to believe that well-made and effectively presented World War II films, mini-series or TV shows are likely to get good reception from worldwide audiences practically anytime. If there’s a war movie sub-genre that you can take to the bank, it’s likely something based in World War II. That was the last military struggle where so much was at stake and both the bad guys and the good guys were clearly identifiable and unambiguous. You don’t have the blame-game political machinations, political correctness or ideology and cultural elements involved as you do with so many modern conflicts. It was a simpler time and the conflict was fairly black and white. For some elements of the fan base for “Band of Brothers”, I think that was both refreshing and reassuring. We may be in a similar position right now with all our economic and geopolitical woes. That’s part of the reason I’m getting ready to do another World War II D-Day film that I think will be very well received. In fact, I’m hoping it will do for the 82^ND Airborne Division what “Band of Brothers” did for the 101^st Airborne. We’ll talk some more about that later if you want.

JRH: Absolutely. First, I’ve always wanted to ask you about this: you often run a “boot camp” for the actors you’re working with. Have you gotten any particularly good results with any actors?

DD: I don’t “often” do it, I always do it unless the Producers adamantly refuse and that usually doesn’t stop us either as the actors nearly always demand the experience. After “Platoon” for which I spent three weeks in the Philippine jungles with the cast making them live the life of combat soldiers 24/7, and after which we got such phenomenal, convincing performances out of them, my so-called “boot camps” became de rigeur on all war films; whether I did them or not. I’d guess we’ve put about a thousand performers through the full-immersion field training at this point and they all seem to point to it as the highlight of their experience; something that taught them a whole lot more than acting techniques. I hope that’s true because that’s what it’s designed to do. I won’t bore you with a lot of military leadership philosophy here, but in broad strokes I’m more interested in getting to a performer’s heart and mind than I am his body. Sure, we teach them by doing how to look and act like a field soldier, how to handle the weapons, equipment and their bodies so they look convincing on the screen, but that’s really a small part of the equation. What I want them to understand is how real soldiers rely on each other, how a unit functions above and beyond the concerns of any one member, how there are things in the military mind-set that make a mission more important – more worthy – than any one individual. I want them to understand the concepts of comradeship, service and sacrifice from first-hand experience. Now that’s a tough lesson for young actors full of ego and self-importance who grow up in pursuit of success or notoriety thinking the sun rises and sets on their ass and their ass alone. I understand that and it’s one of the reasons we make our “boot camps” so physically rugged and so mentally demanding. In essence, we do what the real military does. We tear them down and build them over again in the right mind-set. I’ll let the record speak here, but there’s no doubt it works. Their perspectives and performances alter and improve radically. It’s rugged – some would say brutal – but it works. If it didn’t we wouldn’t be allowed or encouraged to do it.

And here’s an interesting sidelight to the whole boot camp question. Most people don’t know that we usually train a unit of enemy forces at the same time we’re training the good guys. It’s always been my opinion that you ruin the effect – diminish the jeopardy – if you field a bunch of clueless extras to play the enemy in war movies. In the real world our enemies have never been cartoon characters and they shouldn’t be portrayed that way. Over the years we’ve trained units of German and Japanese soldiers, NVA and VC forces, Mujahideen resistance forces, Cubans, Native American warriors and a bunch more. It always pays huge dividends in how the combat scenes look. 

–

JRH: You recently finished work on “The Pacific” which follows the Marines in their battles with Imperial Japan. What battles can we expect to see?

DD: This new HBO miniseries is really close to my heart as a Marine. It follows my old outfit – the 1st Marine Division – through all of its major battles in the Pacific campaigns of World War II. We follow three major characters – one from each of the division’s rifle regiments, 1st Marines, 5th Marines and 7th Marines – from the opening salvos at Guadalcanal, re-fitting in Australia after the Solomons Campaign, on to Cape Gloucester on New Guinea, to Peleliu and then on to Okinawa and back home at war’s end. 

JRH: How would you compare this series to “Band of Brothers”?

DD: “The Pacific” is presented in the same ten-part format as “Band of Brothers” and I think it will prove to be just as popular as the ETO series…especially among Marines and veterans of the Pacific Theater of Operations. That said, it’s very different from “Band”. It’s as different as World War II in the Pacific was from World War II in Europe. It’s much darker and more brutal but that was the nature of fighting on those Pacific islands. Just ask any veteran for confirmation of that. Tom Hanks who is one of our Executive Producers likes to say it will take the audience on a brutal journey to hell and back; the same sort of journey that was experienced by the men who fought the real battles. I think he’s right on the mark with that. From a personal perspective as the Senior Military Advisor, it was an honor and a real treat to command a unit of World War II Marines – actors and special ability extras – for a full year. As we did with Band of Brothers, we stayed in character the entire time. And the training in the jungles of Far North Queensland, Australia was really rugged. I don’t think any of the guys will ever forget that. 

JRH: When can we expect to see it?

DD: We’re finishing post-production on “The Pacific” right now. HBO tells me they plan to air it beginning early in 2010. I’m trying to get them to do an exclusive preview at the traditional home of the 1st Marine Division just down the road at Camp Pendleton.  

JRH: Outstanding. I’d like to change gears here for a second… One of the things that drives me insane, and I’m sure I’m not alone in this, is when a film or television show screws up the military stuff. For example, simple things like uniforms. Nothing takes me out of a scene faster than realizing that some actor’s rank insignia is upside down or a “Marine” is saluting indoors, uncovered, etc. Tell our readers a bit about exactly what it is you bring to a production as a military advisor and why it’s important that Hollywood get it right. 

DD: Well, you’re getting to the very heart of my philosophy as a Military Advisor and filmmaker here. For years there was a sort of arrogant attitude on the part of a lot of filmmakers that audiences didn’t know or care what was real about war or the military, so they’d willingly suspend their disbelief to accept whatever the writers or directors saw fit to present. That mind-set was ignoring a couple of facts that I quickly recognized. First of all, entire generations of Americans – but very, very few filmmakers – had personal experience with the military through the draft that lasted right up through the mid-70’s. Secondly, we live in a media-saturated society where news footage or live feeds from battlefields around the world show potential audiences what the real military, real conflict looks like. Ignore that and you’ve got what the psycho-babblers call “cognitive disconnect.” People watch the nightly news and see what real soldiers in real combat look like and then you want them to give you twenty bucks to see make-believe soldiers doing something that looks entirely different? Won’t work…and no marquee star or powerhouse director is going to make it work. It goes against human nature. I started thinking about this on a minor-league level early in my efforts to get into the business as a Military Advisor. I’d had the same experience you talked about, you know, ribbons worn wrong, bad haircuts, sloppy salutes and all the inaccuracies that piss us military veterans off so badly when we see them on screen. That led me to wonder why filmmakers got these simple, easy-to-fix things wrong all the time. And that led me to understand the arrogance situation and that, in turn, led me to develop my own techniques of getting it right from the inside out by training performers and carefully staging combat scenes to reflect the realities or what people were seeing on the nightly news. That’s what I was bringing to the table. It just took a long time and a lot of hard work in proving the point to get filmmakers to eat it. In our business nothing succeeds like success, so as time went on and I became more skilled, producers and directors wanted me at their shoulder as a reality check and they let me do more and more of the staging and coaching for them. It was a process of education for both of us.  

JRH: You are the founder of Warriors, Inc., the military advisory company. What kind of services do you provide? 

DD: I’m very proud of Warriors Inc. I think it’s still the preeminent military advisory service in the industry although there are a lot of imitators out there. That’s OK. Competition just improves the product or service. But we still bring the big stick and produce the most tangible results. We do it differently on a whole different level and bring a huge amount of experience to a project. That said, I recognized early on that relying on standard military fare in movies or TV was not going to pay our bills. There were just too few appropriate projects to keep us busy all the time. So I started chasing films that you wouldn’t think necessarily needed a full-time Military Advisor. We worked very successfully on Last of The Mohicans and Starship Troopers, for instance. I also started looking around to work with established writers, providing them ideas and advice on military-themed projects. And Warriors Inc. has expanded into a lot of different fields these days. We do themed entertainment work such as the Star Trek ride at the Hilton in Las Vegas and the Terminator T-2/3-D rides at Universal Studios in Hollywood, Orlando and Osaka, Japan. We’ve got a Warriors Inc. imprint for publishing now that’s been getting my novels out on the market. We’re doing corporate leadership and team-building seminars based on the military model for major clients around the world. We’ve even consulted on several music videos. And I’m always writing screenplays with military themes, so we stay busy even in the down times. Anyone who’s interested can track all this at www.warriorsinc.com.  

JRH: Do you actively recruit veterans to work for Warriors, Inc.? Or do they find you? 

DD: Warriorsinc.com is probably the first hit for veterans searching for work in showbiz when they get out of uniform. At least it seems to be according to our webmaster. She’s regularly flooded with requests from veterans who want to work as Military Advisors to film and TV and my email gets jammed with similar requests all the time. We’re very selective about the people we respond to because our guys have to be leaders and teachers as well as combat vets. We get a lot of requests from high-speed, low-drag types – Army SF, Rangers, Marine Force Recon, SEALs, etc. – but ironically those guys don’t work out very often. What we need are basic infantry squad leaders who can teach and who can think creatively. That’s hard to find, believe it or not. We need guys who can do extensive research; who can flex and bring their military leadership experience to bear in any uniform we may have to wear for a project. It’s about a hell of a lot more than weapons and tactics. And I run Warriors like a rifle company. We don’t have a CEO or managers. We have a Commanding Officer, an Executive Officer, an Adjutant and Platoon Sergeants. That makes the suits in Sacramento crazy, but it’s the way we operate. I’m a stickler for loyalty and in my outfit loyalty runs up and down the chain of command…with emphasis on the latter direction. I have a staff of good, proven guys – no surprise that most of them are Marines – who always get first shot at projects before we go looking for new Cadre recruits. My XO Mike Stokey, for instance, has been with me now for twenty years and he often runs shows on his own while I’m off working on a different project but it’s always under the Warriors Inc. umbrella. We were young sergeants together in Vietnam and share the same leadership philosophies and filmmaking techniques. In fact, all the Warriors Inc. Cadre guys share those things. We teach them and demand a very high-level of performance. I guess another of the reasons we’re so particular is that I’m not interested in training people who will take what we offer and then quit to form their own military advisory service in direct competition with us. It’s happened before. I’m not brilliant but I’m not stupid either. 

JRH: What advice would you give to an active duty service member that is considering a career in the entertainment industry? 

DD: I get this question all the time and the answer is always the same. First, narrow your focus. What is it specifically you want to do in the entertainment industry? Do you want to be a Military Advisor, a writer, a director, a producer, a cameraman, work in props, special effects, visual effects or what? Most folks coming off active duty have no idea how segmented and synergistic making films is these days. So, I tell them to do a little practical research and a lot of soul-searching to determine what it is they really want to do beyond “make movies.” The next thing I tell them is to get a regular day-job to pay the bills while they work toward cracking the showbiz nut. And in the most discouraging, harsh and realistic terms I can express, I tell them what a bitch-kitty this industry can be for people trying to get a start. Those that survive that usually have the guts, tenacity and determination to make it one way or another. I hate to do it that way, but painting some sort of pie-in-the-sky rosy picture would be a disservice to veterans and I won’t be a part of that. What’s really tough is talking to young vets – men and women – who want to be actors. This business is built on the bones and carcasses of wonderful young people who’ve driven themselves to destruction trying to make it big because they’re focused on stardom and not the creative process. Still, I find it hard to burst a bubble or destroy a dream. I do what I can through contacts and sage advice to give them a little hand up.  

JRH: I’ve read that you’ll be directing your first feature. Earlier, you mentioned something about the 82nd Airborne. Is that the project? Can you tell me about a bit about that? 

DD: Lord knows I’ve been to the finest film school in the world with no classroom time involved. I’ve worked with the best writers, directors and producers in the business – Oliver Stone, John Frankenheimer, Steven Spielberg, Michael Mann, Wolfgang Petersen, Bob Zemeckis, Tom Hanks, Billy Friedkin, Dave Nutter, Roberto Benini and a whole host of others. They were all kind enough to teach me filmmaking on a very practical level while we worked together and now it’s time for me to put that knowledge, skill and creativity to work on my own projects. The first of these is a World War II film that I wrote titled “No Better Place To Die.” It’s a really impactful story of the stand made by elements of the 82nd Airborne Division on D-Day to take and hold open a vital bridge over the Merderet River in Normandy. Had those guys not held that bridge, the break-out from Omaha Beach and subsequent capture of the vital deep-water port at Cherbourg never would have happened. Much of the success of the allied landings on D-Day depended on what these 82nd Airborne paratroops were able to do in the face of astronomical odds. I’m raising money to do it right now and trying not to depend too heavily on traditional sources. I want to do this my way as a writer/director. We’ve got deals in place to shoot it on the actual battlefields in Normandy where the fighting took place in 1944. And it’s going to be a film made by genuine combat veterans. Our line producer Marty Katz, Director of Photography Levie Isaacks and myself as writer/director are all combat veterans, so we’ll bring a very special look and feel to the film. If there are any real money players in your audience, I’m open to make a deal.  

JRH: (laugh) All the real money players read my stuff. “No Better Place to Die” sounds like it will be a great piece and I’ll be looking forward to it. That said, after more than twenty years slugging it out in Hollywood, are there any other goals you want to achieve? 

DD: Well, obviously I want to get this first Dale Dye film made and turn it into a hit. If I can pull that off, I’ve got a slate of three other military pictures already written that I want to do using the World War II film as proof of performance. I want to do a film on the Chosen Reservoir Campaign in Korea, a true-story Vietnam film based on a Combined Action Platoon and a story from Iraq that involves events in Mosul during the first free Iraqi elections. These are all written by me and I’ll want to direct them all. I’m approaching all this in the same way I approached breaking into showbiz in the first place twenty-five years ago: fix bayonets and charge. Remember what I said earlier. You can do a lot of things people tell you are impossible when you’re blissfully ignorant. I’ll get these pictures done through sheer force of will if nothing else.  

JRH: I have no doubt at all about that. Captain Dye, it’s been a real pleasure.

But, in the world of gambling, you always want to look for value. What are the films and performances with longer odds that would be worth a wager on Sunday? My purpose here is to establish a betting line for each of the six major categories, and then find the value bet in each category.

Question: Who will win Best Picture? Answer: Still, SLUMDOG MILLIONAIRE

BEST PICTURE
Slumdog Millionaire – 1/7
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button – 6/1
Milk – 20/1
Frost/Nixon – 30/1
The Reader – 50/1

VALUE: I believe that in order to win an Academy Award, passion is required. Slumdog Millionaire has a passionate zeal among its supporters that will make it virtually unbeatable. Although I have made The Curious Case of Benjamin Button the second choice here, I give it very little chance of winning. It has major studio backing (Paramount), and it is certainly well-respected, but it is more admired than loved. So, for me the betting value is in Milk. Aside from Slumdog, it is the movie with the largest bloc of zealous fans. Gay and gay-friendly Academy members love the movie, and in the shadow of the passage of Proposition 8 in California, Milk is worth a $2 bet at the window.

Sean Penn's portrayal of Harvey Milk is now a decided underdog to Mickey Rourke

BEST ACTOR
Mickey Rourke, The Wrestler – 1/2
Sean Penn, Milk – 3/2
Frank Langella, Frost/Nixon – 10/1
Brad Pitt, The Curious Case of Benjamin Button – 25/1
Richard Jenkins, The Visitor – 35/1

VALUE: After colorful, rambling, verging on obscene acceptance speeches at both the Golden Globes and the BAFTA Awards, Mickey Rourke is the true favorite for Best Actor. Rourke has also campaigned hard, paying the paying the price for that Golden Globe win by schmoozing each and every one of those 95 Hollywood Foreign Press members. Penn just doesn’t play that awards campaign game at all, but actors love him. The only real betting value here is Penn, who still has a chance of winning his second Oscar.

It has been 25 years since Mery Streep won an Oscar

BEST ACTRESS
Kate Winslet, The Reader – 1/2
Meryl Streep, Doubt – 5/2
Anne Hathaway, Rachel Getting Married – 4/1
Angelina Jolie, Changeling – 25/1
Melissa Leo, Frozen River – 35/1

VALUE: It is Kate Winslet’s year. Just ask anybody. She has two outstanding awards-caliber performances in The Reader and Revolutionary Road. If rules would have allowed, she might have been nominated twice in the Best Actress category. She’s 0-fer-5 lifetime at the Academy Awards and deserves to win, but she can be beaten. Jolie and Leo have no shot. Hathaway is the 3rd choice in the field, and a win is not inconceivable, but Streep is the value bet. The undisputed greatest living actress has not won an Oscar in 25 years, despite the fact that this is her eleventh nomination since winning for Sophie’s Choice in 1983.

Ledger is a lock

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Heather Ledger, The Dark Knight – 1/100
Josh Brolin, Milk – 20/1
Robert Downey, Jr., Tropic Thunder – 25/1
Phillip Seymour Hoffman, Doubt – 30/1
Michael Shannon, Revolutionary Road – 50/1

VALUE: None. There is no value in this category. Heath Ledger will win Best Supporting Actor posthumously. If you are unfamiliar with how odds work, 1/100 means that you would have to bet $100 to win just $1, and even then, it would be tough to get anybody to take your wager.

Marisa Tomei's "stripper with a heart of gold" in THE WRESTLER may earn her a second Oscar

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Penelope Cruz, Vicky Cristina Barcelona – 1/2
Viola Davis, Doubt – 3/1
Marisa Tomei, The Wrestler – 5/1
Amy Adams, Doubt – 12/1
Taraji P. Henson, The Curious Case of Benjamin Button – 15/1

VALUE: This is, by far, the most competitive of the major awards. The longest shot in the field, Taraji P. Henson from Ben Button, is only a 15-1 longshot. Woody Allen has a knack for helping actresses win in this category (ask Dianne Wiest , who scored for both Hannah and Her Sisters and Bullets Over Broadway). That points to a win for Penelope Cruz, who was raw and sexy as Maria Elena in Vicky Cristina Barcelona. Davis can certainly win for her fleeting-but-powerful turn in Doubt, but my value bet is Marisa Tomei. Her first win, for My Cousin Vinny, was viewed by many as a fluke. In fact, there is an urban legend that she really didn’t win. The story goes that Jack Palance, who presented that year, read the wrong name (the legend claims that Vanessa Redgrave was the actual winner for Howard’s End). In reality, there is no doubt that Tomei is an Oscar winning actress, who gives her career-best performance in The Wrestler.

The uncompromising David Fincher

BEST DIRECTOR
Danny Boyle, Slumdog Millionaire – 1/7
David Fincher, The Curious Case of Benjamin Button – 6/1
Gus Van Sant, Milk – 20/1
Ron Howard, Frost/Nixon – 25/1
Stephen Daldry, The Reader – 35/1

VALUE: Nobody is going to beat Danny Boyle, but if I was looking for a strong value bet, I would wager on Fincher. He is a visionary with some amazing movies on his resume, including Se7en, Fight Club and Zodiac. He has worked with countless actors and industry types, and his uncompromising nature makes him tough to like, but easy to respect. If there were an upset in this category, Fincher is the only guy who could pull it off.

Steve Mason is on Facebook and now also on Twitter.

BAFTA Winner Mickey Rourke

The two major uncertainties entering Sunday’s ceremony were whether Kate Winslet, twice-nominated for Best Actress, would split her own vote and miss out on her second BAFTA Award and who would prevail in the Sean Penn-Mickey Rourke battle for Best Actor. Aside from that, it seemed like a Slumdog sweep, and that’s exactly how it played out.

BEST PICTURE: Slumdog Millionaire
Presented by Mick Jagger, so good in 1992’s Freejack, also starring Emilio Estevez, Renee Russo and Anthony Hopkins, the Rolling Stones front man was chosen to lead the coronation. (I’m being facetious. Freejack was awful. Jagger just seems like an odd choice.)

BAFTA Winner Danny Boyle flanked by Patrick Stewart (left) and Ian McKellan

BEST ACTOR: Mickey Rourke, The Wrestler
Chalk one up for Rourke. I think that the tide is turning in the Oscar race. Mickey dropped an F-bomb in his acceptance speech, and although censors will need every one of those 7 seconds of delay, I am now leaning to Rourke’s heroic turn as Randy “The Ram” Robinson to win Best Actor at February 22’s Academy Awards. A choice moment from Mickey’s speech, “Thanks to Marsei Tomei for constantly taking her clothes off on-screen…I enjoyed looking at her.” Here’s a link to Mickey’s acceptance speech with all the necessary bleeps.

Penelope Cruz, Mickey Rourke and Kate Winslet show off their hardware

BEST ACTRESS: Kate Winslet, The Reader
She was nominated for both Revolutionary Road an The Reader, but just as Oscar voters did, the BAFTA Awards voters preferred the slow burning guilt and shame of her performance in The Reader over her showy Who’s Afraid of Virginia Woolf-style theatrics in Rev Road.

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR: Heath Ledger, The Dark Knight
The year’s most memorable performance, and since TDK was snubbed for Best Picture at both the BAFTA Awards and the upcoming Oscars, this is the best way to pay tribute to the all-time second-biggest grossing movie in US history.

Cruz didn't have to contend with Winslet, with both of her nominations in the Best Actress category or Viola Davis (Doubt), a strong contender at the Oscars

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS: Penelope Cruz, Vicky Cristina Barcelona
Very well-deserved. She had a tremendous year with both the edgy, verge of crazy Maria Elena from Woody Allen’s comedy and a haunting performance in the very underrated Elegy. With Winslet out of the Supporting Actress race at both the BAFTA Awards and the Oscars, Cruz gets her shot. Keep in mind that Viola Davis, so good in Doubt was not nominated here, but is a live bet in two weeks at the Academy Awards.

BEST DIRECTOR: Danny Boyle, Slumdog Millionaire
The obvious choice. Manchester-born. The career of a true auteur with brilliantly diverse films like Trainspotting, Shallow Grave, Millions and 28 Days Later on his resume.

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY: Simon Beaufoy, Slumdog Millionaire
After writing The Fully Monty in 1998, this UK-born screenwriter seemingly disappeared until 2008 when he wrote both Miss Pettigrew Lives For a Day and Slumdog. No surprise at all that he wins here, and he seems like a lock on Oscar night with David Hare’s The Reader as a distant challenger.

Original Screenplay winner Martin McDonagh with his In Bruges star Colin Farrell

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY: Martin McDonagh, In Bruges
Known for his plays The Pillowman and The Beauty Queen of Leenane, he actually won the Oscar for Best Short Live Action Film in 2006 with something called Six Shooter. London-born this is his first full-length feature film and he is both a BAFTA winner and an Academy Award nominee. McDonagh is unlikely to repeat on Oscar night with Dustin Lance Black, already the WGA winner, a strong favorite for Milk.

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY: Anthony Dod Mantle, Slumdog Millionaire
A Boyle favorite who previously worked with him on 28 Days Later, Mantle was also DP on 2006’s fantastic The Last King of Scotland. He could be carried to an Oscar win riding the crest of a Slumdog tidal wave, or Wally Pfister could snag the award for his work on The Dark Knight (there could be a reverse backlash at the Academy Awards with voters rallying around TDK because of the Best Picture snub). The tag-team of two-time Oscar winner Chris Menges and eight-time nominee Roger Deakins are also a threat for their work on The Reader.

BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN: The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
Probably the right choice here. It’s a 160-minute movie covering decades so getting the look right must have been a daunting task.

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS: The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
Again this is right on. In fact, you could argue that the whole movie is predicated on the visual effects. Seamlessly placing Brad Pitt’s face on another body without the strings showing? If the FX people don’t pull this off, Fincher has no movie.

BEST SOUND: Slumdog Millionaire
On Oscar night, this category will either belong to Slumdog in a sweep or The Dark Knight.

BEST MAKEUP AND HAIR: The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
The obvious choice for the BAFTA Awards and the Oscars.

BEST COSTUME DESIGN: Michael O’Connor, The Duchess
Big gigantic dresses. That’s what I saw when I watched The Duchess. Generally speaking, that’s what wins in this category.

Composer A.R. Rahman wins the BAFTA and may become the first Indian to win an Academy Award

BEST MUSIC: A.R. Rahman, Slumdog Millionaire
In my mind, this is the right choice. There has never been a mainstream film score that sounds remotely like what Rahman produced for Slumdog. The score is integral to the feel of the movie. In fact, it’s hard to imagine that it would be the same movie with a conventional score. Rahman is only the third Indian ever nominated for an Oscar, and this soundtrack does represent a fascinating bridge between traditional and modern Indian music and the Western sound we all know.

BEST ANIMATED FILM: WALL-E
Yes, Waltz With Bashir is unique – an animated, foreign language documentary, but WALL-E is a special, special movie, and Andrew Stanton deserves every award that comes along. The Chaplinesque quality of the first act makes it, for my money, one of the best animated movies of the modern era.

BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM: I’ve Loved You So Long
This was easily my favorite foreign language film of 2008. The arcane rules governing Best Foreign Language Film excluse this Phillipe Claudel drama from Oscar contention, but put this in your Netflix cue when it becomes available. Kristen Scott Thomas delivers a haunting portrait of a woman with a secret, and, as it unravels in the hands of her empathetic sister (played by the remarkable Elsa Zylberstein), her burden and suffering are heartbreaking.

BEST BRITISH FILM: Man on Wire
Slumdog was nominated here, but the BAFTA tradition is to recognize a smaller film, excluded from the Best Picture race. I am one of the few people that didn’t fall in love with this James Marsh doc about wire-walker Phillippe Petit. Since the Brits have no Best Documentary Feature category, this was their one chance to recognize Marsh. Man On Wire is the prohibitive Oscar favorite for Best Doc, and I may have to watch it again just to see if I missed something the first time around.

Noel Clarke, the surprise winner of the BAFTA Rising Star Award

ORANGE RISING STAR: Noel Clarke
This award is voted on by the British public, and Clarke is the star of the UK TV hit Doctor Who. Both Michael Cera (Juno, Superbad) and Rebecca Miller (Frost/Nixon, Vicky Cristina Barcelona) lost the fan vote but are likely to have longer and more notable careers than Clarke.

CARL FOREMAN AWARD: Steve McQueen, The Hunger
Tells the story of the last six weeks in the life of hunger striker Bobby Sands. Michael Fassbender, who also lost out on the Orange Rising Star Award to Clarke, portrays Sands, and the movie played for just one week in the US (I’m assuming for Oscar qualification). Hopefully IFC will give this some arthouse runs this year.

Steve Mason is on Facebook and now also on Twitter.

Not quite true. Forrest Whitaker darkened his skin to play Idi Amin for his Oscar winning performance in “The Last King of Scotland.”

Slightly different circumstances, yes. But…

What Variety alludes to in their piece is that the Downey Jr. role is offensive. Mincing no words, Scott Feinberg over at the LA Times just comes out and says as much. Apparently bucking for a nomination for Best Performance by a White Guy Who Takes it Upon Himself to be Offended For Black People, Feinberg writes:

“I guess I just can’t imagine any circumstance under which a blackface performance would be acceptable, any more than I can imagine any circumstance under which the use of the N-word would be acceptable.”

Really? Can’t imagine any circumstance to use the word Nigger? You mean, like in a Ralph Ellison novel?

Trustees of the Liberal Plantation aside, Downey Jr.’s performance is sharp, smart satire. Clever, but aimed squarely for the gut, in the way the New Yorker’s Barack/Michelle-as-radicals cover was aimed at some other Brahmin organ that giggles with delight when it’s self-manipulated.

My take away from the Kirk Lazarus/Lincoln Osiris is a comedic finger giving a hard wag at Hollywood; an industry that has no problem writing big checks for Barack Obama, but then can do no better than spend tens of millions of dollars offending minorities. Seriously, was Notorious the best ode to blackness Hollywood could give us for the King Day/Obama Inauguration long weekend?

I can’t speak as to whether or not the Simple Jack story line or Les Grossman were offensive to their intended targets. But I can say that while I’ll be putting what little energy I can muster for the Oscars into good wishes for Viola Davis and Taraji P. Henson, I’ll have no problem if “Kirk Lazarus” gets the award he deserves.

For more perspective please go to That Minority Thing.com