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	<title>Big Hollywood &#187; Anthony Mackie</title>
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		<title>‘The Hurt Locker&#8217;: Hollywood&#8217;s Idea of ‘Not Political&#8217;</title>
		<link>http://bighollywood.breitbart.com/jjmnolte/2009/06/12/%e2%80%98the-hurt-locker-hollywoods-idea-of-%e2%80%98not-political/</link>
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		<pubDate>Sat, 13 Jun 2009 00:03:20 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>John Nolte</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Entertainment]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Featured Story]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Politics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Anthony Mackie]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Brian Geraghty]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[David Morse]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Iraq]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Jeremy Renner]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Kathryn Bigelow]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mark Boal]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[The Hurt Locker]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://bighollywood.breitbart.com/?p=159446</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[I jumped at the opportunity to join &#8220;The Hurt Locker&#8221; press junket. The film&#8217;s director, Kathryn Bigelow (&#8220;Point Break,&#8221; &#8220;Strange Days,&#8221; &#8220;Blue Steel&#8221;), has been a favorite of mine since catching a 3 a.m. Cinemax screening of &#8220;Near Dark&#8221; some twenty-five years ago. No director &#8212; not the Scott brothers, not Michael Bay or even [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I jumped at the opportunity to join &#8220;<a href="http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0887912/">The Hurt Locker</a>&#8221; press junket. The film&#8217;s director, <a href="http://www.imdb.com/name/nm0000941/">Kathryn Bigelow </a>(&#8220;Point Break,&#8221; &#8220;Strange Days,&#8221; &#8220;Blue Steel&#8221;), has been a favorite of mine since catching a 3 a.m. Cinemax screening of &#8220;Near Dark&#8221; some twenty-five years ago. No director &#8212; not the Scott brothers, not Michael Bay or even Clint Eastwood understand or are able to get inside the skin of driven men of action like Bigelow. This makes even her rare misstep like &#8220;K:19 The Widowmaker&#8221; much more watchable than it deserves to be (actually, I watch it all the time).</p>
<p style="text-align: center"><a href="http://bighollywood.breitbart.com/files/2009/06/03-sg-14.jpg"><img class="size-full wp-image-159522 aligncenter" src="http://bighollywood.breitbart.com/files/2009/06/03-sg-14.jpg" alt="" /></a></p>
<p>The junkets are simple. You sit in a hotel room with other writers and one by one the film&#8217;s participants stop by for a few minutes. So, in no particular order, as a group we had the chance to interview Bigelow, screenwriter <a href="http://www.imdb.com/name/nm1676793/">Mark Boal</a> (&#8220;In the Valley of Elah&#8221;), who researched the film in Iraq, and actors <a href="http://www.imdb.com/name/nm0719637/">Jeremy Renner</a>, <a href="http://www.imdb.com/name/nm1107001/">Anthony Mackie</a> and <a href="http://www.imdb.com/name/nm1310016/">Brian Geraghty</a>.</p>
<p>All were charming and personable to be sure, but whenever politics or previous Iraq War films came up, things would get a little tense and surreal as each responded by assuring us they weren&#8217;t worried because &#8220;Hurt Locker&#8221; wasn&#8217;t at all political. Again and again, the film was described as a straight-forward war picture that just happened to be set in Iraq.<span id="more-159446"></span></p>
<p>Obviously with these anti-Iraq films flopping at a resounding 100% rate, you can understand why the subject was uncomfortable, but the disconnect between the film I saw just a few days earlier and what the participants seemed to sincerely believe was an apolitical action film, was striking.</p>
<p>Here are some of the story beats. [minor spoiler warning]</p>
<p>The film opens declaring its theme in writing: <strong>War is a Drug.</strong></p>
<p style="text-align: center"><a href="http://bighollywood.breitbart.com/files/2009/06/09-sg-01.jpg"><img class="size-full wp-image-159530 aligncenter" src="http://bighollywood.breitbart.com/files/2009/06/09-sg-01.jpg" alt="" /></a></p>
<p>Renner [pictured above] plays Staff Sergeant William James, a soldier unable to function in the real world or sustain a normal relationship with his family, including a young child. War&#8217;s turned him into a reckless adrenaline addict who constantly puts himself and the men he&#8217;s in charge of in danger when defusing IEDs.</p>
<p>Actor <a href="http://www.imdb.com/name/nm0001556/">David Morse</a> has a cameo as a field commander, Colonel Reed, who&#8217;s portrayed as sadistic and slightly unstable. After an Iraqi civilian/suspect is shot, Reed&#8217;s informed the man&#8217;s life can be saved if medics are called in immediately. Reed refuses to even consider it, and as the dying man bleeds out, exhibits an unsettling admiration for James&#8217;s cowboy ways.</p>
<p>After an Iraqi cab driver (who inexplicably plowed through a road block) is roughly subdued, James says to the troopers handcuffing him, &#8220;If he wasn&#8217;t an insurgent, he sure the hell is now.&#8221;</p>
<p>As the armored vehicle carrying our protagonists passes by, a group of Iraqi children angrily hurl rocks at them.</p>
<p>Naturally, there&#8217;s the &#8220;They all look alike&#8221; remark directed at the Iraqi people by one of the leads.</p>
<p>And the Iraqi people get the worst of it. Something all these anti-war films share in common is a refusal to put a real human face on the people our military are fighting and dying for (this is the case in many anti-Vietnam war films, as well). To do so, to give the Iraqis humanity, works against the abandon-them-to-embarrass-George Bush goal. So instead of portraying them as people &#8212; as real, relatable human beings worthy of support and liberty &#8212; they&#8217;re stripped of humanity and turned into story-props: Villains, victims, foul-mouthed hustlers, or strange alien beings who keep an awkward distance and mourn the dead by yelling savagely at the sky.</p>
<p style="text-align: center"><a href="http://bighollywood.breitbart.com/files/2009/06/24-hl-00016.jpg"><img class="alignnone size-full wp-image-159538" src="http://bighollywood.breitbart.com/files/2009/06/24-hl-00016.jpg" alt="" /></a><br />
Director Kathryn Bigelow</p>
<p>During the interviews, I didn&#8217;t press these specifics. They were emphatic the film was apolitical, so the question could only come off as argumentative. Besides, the plot points speak for themselves. How I interpret them is my opinion. Others may feel different. But I did ask <span style="text-decoration: line-through">everyone</span> the actors what they thought drove the men who volunteered for the Explosive Ordinance Disposal (EOD) squad, which, though obviously dangerous, is difficult to get accepted into because of the skill level and personality requirements.</p>
<p>Only Renner (who memorably portrayed a heroic soldier in &#8220;<a href="http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0463854/">28 Weeks Later</a>&#8220;) had an answer. He remarked that the EOD personnel he spent time with while preparing for the role enjoyed the work and the bump in pay. It also offered unique career opportunities after military life was over. That&#8217;s a perfectly good answer and no doubt true.</p>
<p>However, the rest looked as though no one had ever asked that question before, which is interesting. You would think that this very &#8220;motivation&#8221; would be the prime characteristic in creating the foundation of the characters. This and the film&#8217;s actual portrayal of these characters makes clear that a sense of duty or a selfless desire to help others and serve a cause bigger than one&#8217;s self wasn&#8217;t a motivation remotely near the universe of anyone&#8217;s consideration.</p>
<p>To their credit, when it came to the military, all the participants spoke with respect, but there was certainly a disconnect, and it shows in the film.</p>
<p>&#8220;The Hurt Locker&#8221; starts it theatrical roll-out June 26th.</p>
<p>My review will post next week.</p>
<p><strong>UPDATE:</strong> June 15th 7:37 a.m.: While preparing a follow-up interview, I reviewed the recordings of the junket and have updated the post to correct a misintepretation of my notes.</p>
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		<title>PAUL BLART: MALL COP comes-from-behind for a weekend win with $21.5M; Sony finishes 1-2 with UNDERWORLD at $20.7M; GRAN TORINO adds $16M and will become Eastwood’s #1 grossing movie on Wednesday; No love for INKHEART!</title>
		<link>http://bighollywood.breitbart.com/smason/2009/01/25/estimates-3/</link>
		<comments>http://bighollywood.breitbart.com/smason/2009/01/25/estimates-3/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 26 Jan 2009 01:55:17 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Steve Mason</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://bighollywood.breitbart.com/?p=29629</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The chubby guy on the Segway rallied for a come-from-behind win over the Beckinsale-less Underworld sequel, but regardless, it was a 1-2 finish for Sony. When I originally predicted that Paul Blart: Mall Cop as the likely weekend winner over the MLK 4-day, some online sites questioned my pick. Even I didn’t expect an opening [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The chubby guy on the Segway rallied for a come-from-behind win over the Beckinsale-less <em>Underworld</em> sequel, but regardless, it was a 1-2 finish for Sony. When I originally predicted that <em>Paul Blart: Mall Cop</em> as the likely weekend winner over the MLK 4-day, some online sites questioned my pick. Even I didn’t expect an opening close to $40M, and now the Kevin James vehicle has surprised again.</p>
<p style="text-align: center"><a href="http://bighollywood.breitbart.com/files/2009/01/g258258ba065f050f3b22e0e65b8304d70a9c4365101e18.jpg"><img class="size-medium wp-image-30740 aligncenter" src="http://bighollywood.breitbart.com/files/2009/01/g258258ba065f050f3b22e0e65b8304d70a9c4365101e18-200x300.jpg" alt="" width="200" height="300" /></a></p>
<p>The Adam Sandler-produced comedy has broadened its audience, showing real family appeal. That led to stronger Saturday and Sunday matinees for a stellar $21.5M by Monday morning. That gives the movie a 10-day cume of just shy of $65M, which is impressive considering that it was budgeted at just $26M. After success as a supporting star in movies like <em>Hitch</em> ($179.5M cume) and <em>I Now Pronounce You Chuck and Larry</em> ($120M cume), it appears that James can open a movie without the help of Will Smith and Adam Sandler. <em>Mall Cop</em> dipped only 32% from last Friday-thru-Sunday (and that was part of a 4-day weekend, which can often lead to a sharper drop).<span id="more-29629"></span></p>
<p style="text-align: center"><a href="http://bighollywood.breitbart.com/files/2009/01/underworld_rise_of_the_lycans_ver2.jpg"><img class="aligncenter size-medium wp-image-30741" src="http://bighollywood.breitbart.com/files/2009/01/underworld_rise_of_the_lycans_ver2-202x300.jpg" alt="" width="202" height="300" /></a></p>
<p>My Friday night projection column had <em>Underworld: Rise of the Lycans</em> as the #1 movie with $19.75M, and the picture actually improved on that number, finishing with an estimated $20.7M. The Patrick Tatopolous-directed prequel starring Michael Sheen (currently seen as David Frost in Best Picture nominee <em>Frost/Nixon</em>), but the movie finished with less than the original 2003 <em>Underworld</em> ($21.75M) and <em>Underworld: Evolution</em>’s $26.85M in 2006.</p>
<p>The missing ingredient would seem to be the very sexy Kate Beckinsale, who starred in the first two movies in skintight leather. <em>Rise of the Lycans</em> cost about $35M to make, so this picture will make money for Sony. The picture skewed very male (only 41% of the audience was female), but the surprise is that it also drew an older audience. In fact, only 45% of ticket-buyers were under 25.</p>
<p>Oscar voters were not friendly to Clint Eastwood this week. After scoring surprise nominations (<em>Letters From Iwo Jima</em>) and wins (<em>Million Dollar Baby</em>) in recent years, the screen icon was completely shut out on Thursday. No Best Actor nod for <em>Gran Torino</em> (Warner Bros). No Best Director nomination for either of his two well-received 2008 movies <em>Gran Torino</em> or <em>Changeling</em>. No nominations for composing the scores for either of those movies. Clint didn’t even receive a Best Original Song nomination for the haunting and heartfelt theme song from <em>Gran Torino</em> that he co-wrote with son Kyle and jazz vocalist Jamie Cullum.</p>
<p style="text-align: center"><a href="http://bighollywood.breitbart.com/files/2009/01/large_grantorino1.jpg"><img class="aligncenter size-medium wp-image-30743" src="http://bighollywood.breitbart.com/files/2009/01/large_grantorino1-300x200.jpg" alt="" width="300" height="200" /></a></p>
<p>Instead of an Oscar, Eastwood will settle for a blockbuster hit. <em>Gran Torino</em>, in which he plays a bigoted Korean War veteran who befriends a Hmong boy in a rough Detroit neighborhood, scored another $16M, down only 27% from the MLK 3-day. The micro-budgeted movie by a first-time screenwriter has now grossed a staggering $97.57M, and, sometime on Wednesday, it will surpass <em>In the Line of Fire</em>’s $102.3M, becoming Eastwood’s al-time #1 grossing movie.</p>
<p>The fourth-place finisher for the frame is the live action dog movie <em>Hotel For Dogs </em>(Dreamworks/Paramount), which fetched about $12.36M for a new 19-day cume of almost $37M.</p>
<p>Meanwhile, 10 Academy Award nominations have propelled <em>Slumdog Millionaire</em> to a wildly successful expansion. Widening to 1,411 playdates, Fox Searchlight has perfectly calibrated the platform release and coaxed a terrific $10.55M. It’s hard to believe that after being developed by the now-defunct Warner Independent Pictures, this $14M indie almost wound up going straight-to-video. Now Danny Boyle’s life-affirming masterpiece will have grossed almost $56M by Monday, and <em>Slumdog</em> will be selling a lot more tickets between now and Oscar day.</p>
<p style="text-align: center"><a href="http://bighollywood.breitbart.com/files/2009/01/inkheart.jpg"><img class="aligncenter size-medium wp-image-30745" src="http://bighollywood.breitbart.com/files/2009/01/inkheart-203x300.jpg" alt="" width="203" height="300" /></a></p>
<p>The other major studio release is <em>Inkheart</em>, which is the product of New Line (absorbed last year by Warner Bros). Based on a novel by Cornelia Funke and starring Brendan Fraser, Paul Bettany (<em>The Da Vinci Code</em>) and Academy Award winner Helen Mirren, this <em>Narnia</em>-wannabe never really had much of a chance. With tepid reviews (36% Fresh on Rotten Tomatoes) and very low awareness according to pre-release industry tracking, Inkheart only mustered about $7.72M for the weekend, finishing a disappointing #7.</p>
<p>The most-nominated film of the year got a boost as well as <em>The Curious Case of Benjamin Button </em>(Paramount) managed another $1.6M to start the 3-day, which translated to another top ten finish with a $6M weekend take (ninth for the 3-day). With nominations for Best Picture, Best Actor: Brad Pitt, Best Supporting Actress: Taraji P. Henson, Best Director: David Fincher, Best Adapted Screenplay: Eric Roth and Best Original Score: Alexandre Desplat among others, <em>Ben Button</em> has a new domestic gross of $111M.</p>
<p>Three other Oscar nominated films got their post-nomination expansions. <em>Revolutionary Road</em> (Dreamworks/Paramount) was crushed by Thursday’s Oscar announcement, but still managed to do some decent business. Dreamworks was clearly banking on a nomination for Best Actress for Kate Winslet and an outside shot at a Best Picture nom, but the Sam Mendes-directed movie settled for nods for Best Supporting Actor: Michael Shannon, Best Art Direction and Best Costume Design: Albert Wolsky. Rolling out on 1,058 screens, the dark, domestic drama sold a respectable $5.26M in tickets over the 3-day for a $4,979 Per Theatre Average.</p>
<p style="text-align: center"><a href="http://bighollywood.breitbart.com/files/2009/01/wrestler-rourke.jpg"><img class="aligncenter size-medium wp-image-30746" src="http://bighollywood.breitbart.com/files/2009/01/wrestler-rourke-215x300.jpg" alt="" width="215" height="300" /></a></p>
<p>Mickey Rourke’s career-resurrecting performance in <em>The Wrestler</em> (Fox Searchlight) grabbed an approximate $6,500 PTA for the weekend. With a more limited 566 playdates, the Darren Aronofsky-directed gem corralled about $3.7M for a new cume of $9.5M. The picture could get another boost if Rourke manages to win the Screen Actors Guild Award for Best Actor.</p>
<p>Finally, Best Picture nominee <em>Frost/Nixon</em> (Universal) has failed to ignite much interest despite 5 Academy Award nominations. Co-starring the aforementioned Michael Sheen, the Ron Howard-directed film has expanded to 1,100 locations, but it managed only a disappointing $3.02M for the weekend for a new cume of just $12M.</p>
<p><strong>FINAL STUDIO ESTIMATES<br />
1. <em>Paul Blart: Mall Cop</em> (Sony) &#8211; $21.5M, $$6,838 PTA, $64.8M cume<br />
2. NEW – <em>Underworld: Rise of the Lycans</em> (Sony) &#8211; $20.7M, $7,036 PTA, $20.7M cume<br />
3. <em>Gran Torino</em> (Warner Bros) &#8211; $16M, $5,255, $97.57M cume<br />
4. <em>Hotel For Dogs</em> (Dreamworks/Paramount) &#8211; $12.36M, $3,779 PTA, $36.95M cume<br />
5. <em>Slumdog Millionaire</em> (Fox Searchlight) &#8211; $10.55M, $7,477 PTA, $55.91M cume<br />
6. <em>My Bloody Valentine 3-D</em> (Lionsgate) &#8211; $10.05M, $3,966 PTA, $37.72M cume<br />
7. NEW – <em>Inkheart</em> (Warner Bros) &#8211; $7.72M, $2,910 PTA, $7.72M cume<br />
8. <em>Bride Wars</em> (Fox) &#8211; $7M, $2,671 PTA, $48.7M cume<br />
9. <em>The Curious Case of Benjamin Button</em> (Paramount) &#8211; $6M, $2,651 PTA, $111M cume<br />
10. <em>Notorious</em> (Fox Searchlight) &#8211; $5.7M, $3,473 PTA, $31.79M cume<br />
11. <em>Defiance</em> (Paramount Vantage) &#8211; $5.43M, $3,030 PTA, $18.32M cume<br />
12. <em>Revolutionary Road</em> (Dreamworks/Paramount) &#8211; $5.26M, $4,979 PTA, $11.86M<br />
*<em>The Wrestler</em> (Fox Searchlight) &#8211; $3.9M, $6,890 PTA, $9.71M cume<br />
*<em>Frost/Nixon</em> (Universal) &#8211; $3.24M, $2,948 PTA, $12.22M cume</strong></p>
<p><strong><strong>Steve Mason is <a href="http://www.facebook.com/profile.php?id=844770075">on Facebook</a> and now also <a href="http://twitter.com/stevemason323">on Twitter</a>.</strong></strong></p>
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		<title>FINAL TRACKING: UNDERWORLD: RISE OF THE LYCANS could reach $24M with MALL COP at #2; Eastwood&#8217;s TORINO and INKHEART battle for third; SLUMDOG, THE WRESTLER and REV ROAD set for solid expansions!</title>
		<link>http://bighollywood.breitbart.com/smason/2009/01/21/tracking-2/</link>
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		<pubDate>Thu, 22 Jan 2009 07:40:34 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Steve Mason</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://bighollywood.breitbart.com/?p=27253</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Michael Sheen has two movies in release this weekend. The classically-trained Welsh actor plays Lucien in the wildly commercial Underworld: Rise of the Lycans (Sony), opening on about 3,000 screens, and he plays David Frost in Frost/Nixon (Universal), expanding to about 800 playdates.
He is a classically-trained stage actor, who has starred in heavyweight UK productions [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Michael Sheen has two movies in release this weekend. The classically-trained Welsh actor plays Lucien in the wildly commercial <em>Underworld: Rise of the Lycans</em> (Sony), opening on about 3,000 screens, and he plays David Frost in <em>Frost/Nixon</em> (Universal), expanding to about 800 playdates.</p>
<p>He is a classically-trained stage actor, who has starred in heavyweight UK productions of <em>Romeo and Juliet</em>, <em>Henry V</em>, <em>Amadeus</em> and <em>The Dresser</em>, was somehow overlooked by both Hollywood Foreign Press and Oscar voters when he starred as Tony Blair in 2006’s <em>The Queen</em>. (He was outshined by Helen Mirren, who won every acting prize imaginable). This year, he is in the shadow of Frank Langella’s towering portrayal of President Richard Nixon in <em>Frost/Nixon</em>.</p>
<p style="text-align: center"><a href="http://bighollywood.breitbart.com/files/2009/01/fictionprem25.jpg"><img class="size-medium wp-image-27261 aligncenter" src="http://bighollywood.breitbart.com/files/2009/01/fictionprem25-192x300.jpg" alt="" width="192" height="300" /></a></p>
<p>As an aside, <em>The Queen</em> was the second in screenwriter Peter Morgan’s Tony Blair trilogy. The first film was called <em>The Deal</em> for British television and tells the story of the rivalry between Blair and current British Prime Minister Gordon Brown. (This is a great title to put in your Netflix or Blockbuster cue.) The final film will be called <em>The Special Relationship</em>, which will focus on the intimate friendship between the British PM and President Bill Clinton between 1997-2000. Sheen has signed on, but there is no word on who will play Clinton. Morgan says <a href="http://latimesblogs.latimes.com/the_big_picture/2008/07/is-bill-clinton.html" target="_blank">the idea for the third film</a> began to germinate when he heard that Blair and Clinton were alone together when Vice President Al Gore conceded the 2000 election.</p>
<p>In the meantime, Sheen will almost certainly have the #1 movie in America this weekend with <em>Underworld: Rise of the Lycans</em>. This is the third <em>Underworld</em> movie, but it is a prequel set in the dark ages with Sheen as Lucien, a young werewolf, who leads a war against Bill Nighy as Viktor, the leader of the vampire race. <span id="more-27253"></span></p>
<p>2003’s <em>Underworld</em>, directed by Len Wiseman, opened to $21.75M ($52M cume) and <em>Underworld: Evolution</em> improved to a $26.85M opening in 2006 on its way to $62M domestic. But <em>Rise of the Lycans</em> is an origins story and will reportedly not include the sexy, black leather-clad Selene (Kate Beckinsale), so the 3-day could be a bit softer than the last outing. I am predicting a possible $24.34M.</p>
<p style="text-align: center"><a href="http://bighollywood.breitbart.com/files/2009/01/kateb-021407-a.jpg"><img class="aligncenter size-medium wp-image-27277" src="http://bighollywood.breitbart.com/files/2009/01/kateb-021407-a-165x300.jpg" alt="" width="165" height="300" /></a></p>
<p>Sheen and Beckinsale were a longstanding couple prior to shooting the original <em>Underworld</em>, and they have a daughter together, but the actress left him for director Wiseman during what must have been a tumultuous shoot. Wiseman and Beckinsale were married in 2004, and teamed up for <em>Underworld: Evolution</em>, in which Sheen’s Lucien character was only seen in flashbacks. Now, Patrick Tatopoulos has stepped in as director on <em>Underworld 3</em> sans Beckinsale.</p>
<p>Meanwhile, <em>Frost/Nixon </em>goes wider, but it just hasn’t quite clicked with softer-than-expected Per Theatre Averages over the holidays. The Ron Howard-directed biopic with absolutely immaculate reviews could reach $3.35M with a PTA of $4,200 or so. That could make it the fourteenth-best grossing movie of the 3-day.</p>
<p>A fair number of bloggers questioned my prediction last week that <em>Paul Blart: Mall Cop</em> (Sony) would win the MLK weekend, but the tracking was incredibly solid with Males Under 25, which is a big money demo. With no direct competition, this big dumb comedy should hold up pretty well and could dip a mere 41% for a $17M 3-day, enough for second place.</p>
<p style="text-align: center"><a href="http://bighollywood.breitbart.com/files/2009/01/197127.jpg"><img class="aligncenter size-medium wp-image-27273" src="http://bighollywood.breitbart.com/files/2009/01/197127-203x300.jpg" alt="" width="162" height="240" /></a></p>
<p>Two Warner Bros releases will battle for third, but I am giving Clint Eastwood’s <em>Gran Torino</em> a slight edge over its new fantasy film <em>Inkheart</em>. <em>Torino</em> could ride Oscar attention to another $13.5M, but Iain Softley’s new film based on Cornelia Funke’s novel of the same name has met with lukewarm reviews (<a href="http://www.rottentomatoes.com/m/inkheart/" target="_blank">46% Fresh</a> as of Wednesday night) and doesn’t show much traction with audiences in industry tracking. That could mean a fourth place finish with a possible $13.2M.</p>
<p>I am anticipating that the live action family film <em>Hotel For Dogs</em> (Dreamworks/Paramount) will likely hold well with about $10.5M to round out the top five. Emma Roberts, from Nickelodeon’s <em>Unfabulous</em> and the 2007 film version of <em>Nancy Drew</em> ($25.6M domestic), and Jake T. Austin, presently starring in Disney Channel’s <em>Wizards of Waverly Place</em>, have a decent little hit for their resumes with a possible $35M in the bank after ten days.</p>
<p>Three Oscar nominees will expand this weekend, and they will show nice increases. Fox Searchlight’s <em>Slumdog Millionaire</em> expands from 601 to just over 1,000 playdates, and it may see a 52% increase from last weekend for about $8.9M. Darren Aronofsky’s <em>The Wrestler</em> (Fox Searchlight), featuring Mickey Rourke’s career game-changing performance, adds about 365 screens, and I think it could add $4.5M, which would mean a Per Theatre Average of $10K. Finally, <em>Revolutionary Road</em> (Dreamworks/Paramount) widens to 800 or so locations, and its PTA could be something in the $5,500 range for a possible $4.4M.</p>
<p><strong>FINAL WEEKEND 3-DAY PREDICTIONS FOR JANUARY 23-25<br />
1. NEW – <em>Underworld: Rise of the Lycans</em> (Sony) &#8211; $24.34M<br />
2. <em>Paul Blart: Mall Cop</em> (Sony) &#8211; $17M<br />
3. <em>Gran Torino</em> (Warner Bros) &#8211; $13.5M<br />
4. NEW – <em>Inkheart</em> (Warner Bros) &#8211; $13.2M<br />
5. <em>Hotel For Dogs</em> (Paramount) &#8211; $10.5M<br />
6. <em>My Bloody Valentine 3D</em> (Lionsgate) &#8211; $9.9M<br />
7. <em>Slumdog Millionaire</em> (Fox Searchlight) &#8211; $8.9M<br />
8. <em>Notorious</em> (Fox Searchlight) &#8211; $8.25M<br />
9. <em>Bride Wars</em> (Fox) &#8211; $5.85M<br />
10. <em>Defiance</em> (Paramount Vantage) &#8211; $4.75M<br />
11. <em>The Wrestler</em> (Fox Searchlight) &#8211; $4.5M<br />
12. <em>Revolutionary Road</em> (Dreamworks/Paramount) &#8211; $4.4M<br />
13. <em>The Unborn</em> (Universal) &#8211; $3.5M<br />
14. <em>Frost/Nixon</em> (Universal) &#8211; $3.35M</strong></p>
<p><strong><strong>Steve Mason is <a href="http://www.facebook.com/profile.php?id=844770075">on Facebook</a> and now also <a href="http://twitter.com/stevemason323">on Twitter</a>.</strong></strong></p>
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