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		<title>They&#8217;re teen movie stars that wear purity rings: JONAS BROTHERS: THE 3-D CONCERT EXPERIENCE should easily win the weekend with a possible $30M!</title>
		<link>http://bighollywood.breitbart.com/smason/2009/02/25/finaltracking-2/</link>
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		<pubDate>Thu, 26 Feb 2009 06:43:59 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Steve Mason</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://bighollywood.breitbart.com/?p=67382</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Tween girls will unite this weekend and transform Kevin, Joe and Nick into box office stars. Last year, Hannah Montana/Miley Cyrus: Best of Both Worlds Concert Tour ignited a box office wildfire with a $31.1M opening weekend despite only 683 3-D-equipped screens. Now Disney has the teen stars of the moment, Jonas Brothers, in the [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Tween girls will unite this weekend and transform Kevin, Joe and Nick into box office stars. Last year, <em>Hannah Montana/Miley Cyrus: Best of Both Worlds Concert Tour</em> ignited a box office wildfire with a $31.1M opening weekend despite only 683 3-D-equipped screens. Now Disney has the teen stars of the moment, Jonas Brothers, in the same sort of concert movie vehicle. The difference is that <em>Jonas Brothers: The 3-D Concert Experience</em> will open on about twice as many screens.</p>
<p><a href="http://bighollywood.breitbart.com/files/2009/02/jonasbrothersblog1-300x263.jpg"><img class="aligncenter size-medium wp-image-67386" src="http://bighollywood.breitbart.com/files/2009/02/jonasbrothersblog1-300x263.jpg" alt="" width="300" height="263" /></a><br />
The precise number of 3-D screens is difficult to pinpoint. Last month, Lionsgate confirmed 1,033 Digital 3-D runs for the remake of <em>My Bloody Valentine</em>, and although I have not been able to confirm a hard number for <em>Coraline</em> (Focus), it was probably close to 1,100. Now, as the expensive $100K per screen digital conversion creeps along for exhibitors, <em>Jonas Brothers</em> could reach 1,200 3-D screens. Unlike <em>Coraline</em>, the new Disney concert movie will not be boosted by traditional 2-D 35MM playdates.</p>
<p><span id="more-67382"></span></p>
<div id="attachment_67390" class="wp-caption aligncenter" style="width: 310px"><a href="http://bighollywood.breitbart.com/files/2009/02/jonas-family.jpg"><img class="size-medium wp-image-67390" src="http://bighollywood.breitbart.com/files/2009/02/jonas-family-300x240.jpg" alt="The Jonas Brothers along with Mom, Dad and baby brother Frank (sometimes called &quot;the Bonus Jonas&quot;)" width="300" height="240" /></a><p class="wp-caption-text">The Jonas Brothers along with Mom, Dad and baby brother Frank (sometimes called &quot;the Bonus Jonas&quot;)</p></div>
<p>They have sold millions of records, packed them in at concerts across America, have a loyal fan base of screaming teenage girls, and they seem to be good kids. Their Dad is a former Assembly of God minister, and they were home-schooled by their folks. Famously, they wear purity rings, promising to remain virgins until they get married. When asked about the rings, 18-year-old <a href="http://www.newsweek.com/id/105564" target="_blank">Joe Jonas told Newsweek</a>, “Our parents asked if we wanted to, and we were, like, &#8216;Yeah,&#8217; so it&#8217;s awesome.”</p>
<p>As good practicing Evangelical Christian, these kids are tithing too. Jonas Brothers earned $12M in 2007, and they donated 10% to their <a href="http://www.changeforthechildren.org/mission.php" target="_blank">Change for the Children Foundation</a>, which offers support to other charities like St. Jude Children’s Research Hospital and the American Diabetes Association (Nick Jonas <a href="http://www.changeforthechildren.org/dvision.php" target="_blank">was diagnosed</a> with Type 1 Diabetes in November of 2005).</p>
<p><a href="http://bighollywood.breitbart.com/files/2009/02/jonas_brothers_3d_ver2.jpg"><img class="aligncenter size-medium wp-image-67394" src="http://bighollywood.breitbart.com/files/2009/02/jonas_brothers_3d_ver2-203x300.jpg" alt="" width="203" height="300" /></a><br />
Tracking shows that the audience for <em>Jonas Brothers: The 3-D Concert Experience</em> will be almost exclusively Females Under 25 and their Moms, and this picture has a strong shot at a spectacular $25K per screen for a $30M opening weekend. Take that with a grain of salt because movie-after-movie has out-performed expectations this year.</p>
<p><a href="http://bighollywood.breitbart.com/files/2009/02/aleqm5itsh8lfta9_zqsqlkn3xr42ceh9w.jpg"><img class="aligncenter size-medium wp-image-67398" src="http://bighollywood.breitbart.com/files/2009/02/aleqm5itsh8lfta9_zqsqlkn3xr42ceh9w-300x228.jpg" alt="" width="300" height="228" /></a></p>
<p>Last week’s #1 movie <em>Madea Goes To Jail</em> (Lionsgate) is in for a 60% drop from its meteoric start. The latest from Tyler Perry Studios will possibly add another $16.2M for a second place finish. Academy Award winner <em>Slumdog Millionaire</em> (Fox Searchlight) will sing <em>Jai Ho</em> as it pops to third place, up as much as 14% from Oscar weekend. The target for Danny Boyle’s gutty, little Best Picture winner is $9.5M, which would push the $14M movie to almost $113M in the US.<br />
<a href="http://bighollywood.breitbart.com/files/2009/02/taken-liam-neeson-3.jpg"><img class="aligncenter size-medium wp-image-67402" src="http://bighollywood.breitbart.com/files/2009/02/taken-liam-neeson-3-300x200.jpg" alt="" width="300" height="200" /></a><br />
Luc Besson’s <em>Taken</em> (Fox) will crash through the $100M barrier on Friday and seems destined for #4 with about $7.25M, which would push this French action import to $105M domestic to go along with the $70M achieved in foreign markets. Meanwhile, the Jonas Brothers have stolen virtually all of the 3-D screens from <em>Coraline</em> (Focus). Henry Selick’s spectacular stop-action animation instant classic will tumble a possible 50% to about $6M (a far cry from the more friendly 12% and 22% drops from the last two weekends). Still if my number hits, <em>Coraline</em> will have a new domestic cume of almost $62M compared to its budget of $60M.<br />
<a href="http://bighollywood.breitbart.com/files/2009/02/street_fighter_the_legend_of_chun_li.jpg"><img class="aligncenter size-medium wp-image-67406" src="http://bighollywood.breitbart.com/files/2009/02/street_fighter_the_legend_of_chun_li-202x300.jpg" alt="" width="202" height="300" /></a>The other new wide release is <em>Street Fighter: The Legend of Chun-Li</em>, which Fox has pared down to about 1,000 playdates, is a non-starter. According to pre-release industry tracking the video game adaptation seems headed for a sub-$5M start.</p>
<p><strong>FINAL PREDICTED GROSSES FOR FEBRUARY 27-MARCH 1<br />
1. NEW –<em> Jonas Brothers: The 3D Concert Experience</em> (Disney) &#8211; $30M<br />
2. <em>Madea Goes To Jail</em> (Lionsgate) &#8211; $16.2M<br />
3. <em>Slumdog Millionaire</em> (Fox Searchlight) &#8211; $9.5M<br />
4. <em>Taken</em> (Fox) -$7.25M<br />
5. <em>Coraline</em> (Focus) &#8211; $6M<br />
6. <em>He’s Just Not That Into You</em> (Warner Bros) &#8211; $5.1M<br />
7. <em>Friday The Thirteenth</em> (Warner Bros) &#8211; $4.35M<br />
8. <em>Confessions of a Shopaholic</em> (Disney) &#8211; $4.3M<br />
9. <em>Paul Blart: Mall Cop</em> (Sony) &#8211; $4.2M<br />
10. NEW – <em>Street Fighter: The Legend of Chun-Li </em>(Fox) &#8211; $4M<br />
11. <em>Fired Up</em> (Sony) &#8211; $2.8M<br />
12. <em>The International</em> (Sony) &#8211; $2.75M</strong></p>
<p><strong>Steve Mason is <a href="http://www.facebook.com/profile.php?id=844770075">on Facebook</a> and now also <a href="http://twitter.com/stevemason323">on Twitter</a>.</strong></p>
<span class="fdPrintIncludeParentsPreviousSiblings"></span><span class="fdPrintIncludeParentsChildren"></span>]]></content:encoded>
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